Labour leadership election: the latest odds

Keir Starmer continues to be the bookie’s favourite to replace Jeremy Corbyn as leader of the opposition, and enjoyed a bounce after the weekend’s hustings. Clive Lewis and Jess Phillips, meanwhile have withdrawn from the contest. Find out who’s in the running and how the odds are evolving

trails-02 Illustration: Guardian Design

How the race is unfolding

Implied probability of being the next Labour leader

Source: Oddschecker

Note: the percentages are aggregated from 13 betting sites and will not add up to exactly 100%. Only the top five candidates are named in the chart.

The percentages are the implied probabilities of each candidate becoming the next Labour leader, based on the latest betting odds.

For example, a 10% probability represents average odds of 9/1.

Keir Starmer 99% –

The ambitious former director of public prosecutions has led the charge for remain in the shadow cabinet, which may count against him given that some blame Brexit for the election defeat. He has said he favours a "broad church" Labour party, but without explicitly signalling a move to the right.

Rebecca Long-Bailey 4% –

A close ally of the shadow chancellor, John McDonnell, Long-Bailey has been groomed as a potential leftwing contender for the top job. The Salford MP and shadow business secretary performed well as a stand-in for Jeremy Corbyn in leadership debates.

Lisa Nandy 2% –

A soft-left candidate, Nandy resigned from the shadow cabinet in 2016 over Corbyn’s leadership and handling of the EU referendum. Like Jess Phillips, she may be viewed with suspicion by Corbyn supporters.

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